Gavrilets, S., and Hastings, A. 1998. ``Coevolutionary chase in two-species systems with applications to mimicry.'' Journal of
Theoretical Biology 191: 415-427
ABSTRACT
We study a general dynamical model describing coevolution of two
haploid populations with two alleles at a single locus under weak linear
symmetric frequency-dependent selection. We apply our results to a series
of simple population genetics models describing
classical M\"{u}llerian and Batesian mimicries as well as intermediate
cases. A novel and more realistic element of our modeling approach
is that both species are allowed to evolve.
We analyze conditions for ``evolutionary chase'' between two phenotypically
similar species in which one species evolves to decrease its resemblance
with the other species while
this other species evolves to increase its resemblance with the first species.
We show that permanent evolutionary chase between Batesian mimic and
model or between ``strong'' and ``weak'' M\"{u}llerian mimics can occur
under a range of parameter values if within-species interactions
are stronger than within-species interactions.
The evolutionary chase is
represented by periodic solutions of the model equations.
These periodic solutions can be characterized by large or small
levels of genetic variability and can be simultaneously stable with
equilibrium solutions. In the latter case the outcome and pattern of
coevolution depend on the initial conditions.
Our theoretical results may provide an explanation for the
complex patterns of genetic variability observed in systems of mimicry.
We show that one of the most important factors
influencing the plausibility of non-equilibrium dynamics is
the relationship between the strength of between-species and within-species
interactions. This indicates that this relationship should be the focus
of both experimental and theoretical work. Our results suggest that
systematic studies of frequencies of different mimicry morphs through time
may be very useful.